12 de Octubre vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
12O
1 - 0
RES
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
JLM
2 - 1
12O
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
RÑU
1 - 1
12O
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
12O
1 - 3
OLI
25%
24%
52%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
12O
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
CCP
2 - 2
GUA
46%
28%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RES
0 - 2
CCP
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JLM
1 - 1
CCP
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 1
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |