San Francisco La Rioja vs Barrio Argentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco La Rioja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 3
SFR
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
SFR
23%
21%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
SFR
4 - 1
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barrio Argentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 4
CAR
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
SFR
23%
21%
57%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
AND
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 3
AMT
42%
23%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |