Indep. Calle Larga vs FADEP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Calle Larga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FAD
1 - 1
ICL
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CSD
2 - 5
ICL
9%
15%
77%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ICL
3 - 2
CDM
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SBF
1 - 2
ICL
11%
16%
72%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ICL
5 - 0
CSD
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FADEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FAD
1 - 1
ICL
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FAD
4 - 0
ATA
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
GUT
0 - 0
FAD
54%
24%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FAD
1 - 0
SMA
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ATA
1 - 2
FAD
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |