Copa Simón Bolívar Etapas Finales. Final
Global 2-3
Club Destroyers vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Destroyers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
DES
9%
21%
70%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
AME
82%
14%
5%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
RAM
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
REA
0 - 0
DES
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
BEN
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
AUR
3 - 1
RAM
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
RAM
0 - 1
AUR
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
FAN
85%
12%
4%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
AUR
8%
20%
72%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
CIC
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |