Deportivo Llorens vs Atlético Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
58.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Llorens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
LLR
69%
19%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
LLR
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MRP
2 - 0
LLR
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
LLR
0 - 1
CAÑ
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
LLR
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 0
SPO
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
LLR
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 0
SPO
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 1
AMA
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |