Deportivo Fortaleza vs Independiente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
74.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SSC
4 - 1
DFO
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
DFO
1 - 1
SEN
7%
13%
80%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SSL
3 - 0
DFO
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
WCO
3 - 0
DFO
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
IND
4 - 0
WCO
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 19 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 2
IND
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
IND
1 - 2
DRT
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
IND
4 - 2
SSL
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 20 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |