Cienciano vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
AYA
2 - 2
CIE
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
LEO
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 0
CIE
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 2
UTC
57%
24%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 0
UNI
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
AYA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
UNI
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
AUR
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 2
UNI
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |