Cienciano vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
27.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
CIE
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CIE
5 - 0
COB
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 2
CIE
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
COM
3 - 1
CIE
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CIE
0 - 1
SPC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
GOD
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
UNI
30%
32%
38%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 1
UNI
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |