Cienciano vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
GAR
2 - 2
CIE
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CIE
2 - 0
BIN
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
CIE
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CIE
0 - 0
HUA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
CIE
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
SPC
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
MEL
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
UTC
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 3
MEL
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
3 - 0
AUN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |