Cienciano vs Cobresol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 2
CIE
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
COM
3 - 1
CIE
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CIE
0 - 1
SPC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 1
CIE
35%
27%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CIE
0 - 1
ALI
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
COB
1 - 1
SPC
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
COB
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
COB
0 - 5
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SBO
1 - 0
COB
31%
29%
41%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
COB
2 - 1
MEL
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |