Conference League . Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Club Brugge vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 1
AND
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
BRU
32%
25%
44%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
BRU
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 0
MFK
54%
22%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 1
LEU
63%
20%
16%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 2
PAO
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PAO
3 - 1
LAM
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 3
PAO
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
PAO
5 - 1
DZG
40%
25%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAO
0 - 1
ARI
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |