Aurora vs Unión Tarija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2006 |
OPE
1 - 1
AUR
46%
24%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
AUR
2 - 1
JWI
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
STR
1 - 1
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
AUR
1 - 1
LAP
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
SAN
5 - 0
AUR
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Tarija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 1
RPO
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
BOL
3 - 0
UNI
70%
17%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 0
DES
39%
25%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
OPE
2 - 3
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |