Aurora vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
58.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 2
AUR
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
AUR
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
OPE
5 - 0
AUR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 2
RPO
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ROY
2 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
STR
4 - 0
GUA
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
STR
1 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
BLO
1 - 0
STR
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
STR
3 - 2
REA
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 3
STR
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |