Aurora vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
IBE
3 - 0
AUR
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
STR
2 - 0
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
RPO
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 0
IBE
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
RPO
2 - 0
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
STR
2 - 0
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
IBE
1 - 2
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 1
STR
80%
13%
6%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
STR
2 - 0
RPO
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |