Aurora vs Sport Boys Warnes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ROY
3 - 0
AUR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
STR
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
DES
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AUR
3 - 1
RAM
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Boys Warnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SBW
0 - 2
BLO
41%
26%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SBW
1 - 1
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 3
SBW
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
SBW
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
SBW
1 - 1
BLO
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |