Aurora vs San José Oruro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
AUR
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 2
BOL
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BLO
2 - 0
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 2
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUR
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
San José Oruro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
RPO
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 3
SAN
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
UNI
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |