Aurora vs Royal Pari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SBW
4 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 1
NAC
24%
26%
51%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
STR
2 - 2
AUR
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 6
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
ROY
0 - 1
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
BLO
1 - 1
ROY
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ROY
1 - 1
DES
64%
20%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
REA
3 - 2
ROY
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ROY
1 - 0
RPO
57%
22%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |