Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
STR
4 - 0
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CMV
1 - 2
AUR
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 1
REA
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
AUR
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
IND
2 - 0
UNI
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
IND
1 - 4
BOL
30%
25%
46%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
IND
3 - 0
BLO
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ROY
3 - 2
IND
47%
24%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
UDV
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |