Aurora vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BLO
1 - 0
AUR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 0
NAC
30%
26%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
AUR
75%
16%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 0
DES
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
JWI
2 - 1
AUR
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 1
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 4
BOL
54%
22%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
BOL
25%
24%
52%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
BLO
2 - 1
BOL
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAC
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |