Aurora vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
REA
2 - 1
AUR
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
AUR
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
LAP
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
OPE
2 - 2
AUR
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 2
RPO
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
BOL
4 - 4
LAP
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
BOL
2 - 1
OPE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RPO
1 - 1
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2010 |
STR
3 - 2
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BOL
4 - 2
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |