Racing Belén vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Belén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
DAT
3 - 0
CAR
50%
22%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
POL
0 - 1
CAR
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
DAT
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
POL
1 - 3
DAT
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
POL
0 - 1
CAR
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
DAT
4 - 1
POL
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
POL
1 - 1
SMB
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
OVA
2 - 2
POL
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |