Tercera RFEF X - Andalucía occidental y Ceuta round 26

AD Ceuta FC B vs Conil analysis

AD Ceuta FC B Conil
38 ELO 34
-16.8% Tilt -14.5%
6924º General ELO ranking 7916º
315º Country ELO ranking 418º
ELO win probability
50%
AD Ceuta FC B
24.1%
Draw
25.8%
Conil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
AD Ceuta FC B
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.8%
Win probability
Conil
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

AD Ceuta FC B
Their league position
Conil
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
11º
44
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Salerm Puente Genil
71
71
100%
Ciudad de Lucena
68
68
100%
Utrera
60
60
100%
Club Atl. Central
59
59
100%
UD Tomares
55
55
100%
Bollullos CF
54
54
100%
CD Pozoblanco
52
52
100%
Atlético Onubense
50
50
100%
AD Ceuta FC B
10º
46
46
100%
San Roque de Lepe
46
46
10º
100%
Córdoba CF B
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Conil
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Sevilla C
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Coria CF
14º
36
36
14º
100%
AD Cartaya
15º
35
35
15º
100%
La Palma CF
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Atlético Espeleño
17º
25
25
17º
100%
CD Inter Sevilla
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
AD Ceuta FC B
Conil
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

AD Ceuta FC B
Conil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AD Ceuta FC B
AD Ceuta FC B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2025
UTR
Utrera
4 - 3
AD Ceuta FC B
CAC
52%
23%
25%
38 39 1 0
01 Mar. 2025
CAC
AD Ceuta FC B
2 - 3
San Roque de Lepe
SRQ
39%
28%
33%
39 40 1 -1
22 Feb. 2025
BOL
Bollullos CF
2 - 0
AD Ceuta FC B
CAC
35%
25%
40%
40 35 5 -1
15 Feb. 2025
CAC
AD Ceuta FC B
1 - 1
Atlético Onubense
REC
59%
22%
19%
40 32 8 0
08 Feb. 2025
UDT
UD Tomares
2 - 2
AD Ceuta FC B
CAC
38%
24%
38%
40 33 7 0

Matches

Conil
Conil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2025
LAP
La Palma CF
2 - 1
Conil
CON
44%
24%
33%
36 33 3 0
02 Mar. 2025
CON
Conil
1 - 1
Utrera
UTR
30%
26%
44%
35 39 4 +1
23 Feb. 2025
SRQ
San Roque de Lepe
5 - 1
Conil
CON
49%
25%
27%
37 39 2 -2
16 Feb. 2025
CON
Conil
2 - 0
Bollullos CF
BOL
39%
27%
34%
35 36 1 +2
09 Feb. 2025
REC
Atlético Onubense
0 - 0
Conil
CON
39%
25%
36%
35 32 3 0