Cerro CA vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ATE
0 - 1
CER
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CER
1 - 1
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
CER
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CER
5 - 2
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BOS
2 - 3
CER
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 1
RAC
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 0
PRO
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
RAC
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 1
FEN
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
JUN
2 - 0
RAC
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |