CSL Benfica vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+150%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
LLM
0 - 5
BEN
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
MCA
2 - 1
BEN
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
BEN
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
KTM
2 - 4
BEN
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
HNM
0 - 3
BEN
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PSP
3 - 0
CPK
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
WAK
3 - 1
PSP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LLM
2 - 2
PSP
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 0
PSP
52%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
PSP
0 - 1
MCA
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |