CSL Benfica vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.4%
7.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BEN
8 - 0
TCK
69%
16%
16%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CPO
0 - 12
BEN
26%
18%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 4
CPK
56%
18%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
PSP
0 - 3
BEN
15%
16%
69%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
BEN
7 - 1
SMA
76%
13%
11%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CPO
3 - 1
MCA
42%
20%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CPK
11 - 1
MCA
76%
13%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 2
PSP
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
MCA
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
MCA
2 - 2
LUL
55%
19%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |