Cliftonville vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
2º
8º
3º
78
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CLI
5 - 0
DUN
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 1
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CLI
5 - 0
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
LIN
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
47%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 1
QUB
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
6 - 1
NEW
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |