Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
COL
4 - 1
CLI
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
CLI
0 - 2
LIN
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CLI
1 - 5
CRU
28%
23%
49%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
INS
6 - 4
CLI
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 3
CLI
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 4
DUN
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 3
ARD
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
DUN
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 0
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |