Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 1-5
Cliftonville vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
CSK
3 - 0
CLI
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
HNK
0 - 0
CLI
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 0
HNK
38%
26%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GLE
0 - 3
CLI
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CSK
0 - 1
LSO
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
CSK
3 - 0
CLI
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
ROT
2 - 1
CSK
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CHB
2 - 0
CSK
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CSK
2 - 2
CVA
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |