Cliftonville vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
CLI
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
CLI
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DON
0 - 2
CLI
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CLI
4 - 3
GLE
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
POR
3 - 3
CLI
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 1
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 4
CRU
31%
26%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 1
CRU
19%
21%
61%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |