Cliftonville vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
CLI
0 - 1
COL
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
GLE
1 - 1
CLI
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1996 |
AAB
4 - 0
CLI
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 1996 |
CLI
1 - 4
STU
16%
19%
65%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1996 |
HHA
1 - 1
CLI
87%
9%
4%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
CRU
3 - 1
ARD
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
LIN
0 - 1
CRU
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
CRU
2 - 2
GLE
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
CRU
2 - 1
ZAL
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
ZAL
2 - 0
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |