Ligue 1 . Jor. 14

Clermont vs Montpellier analysis

Clermont Montpellier
72 ELO 77
2.5% Tilt -2.6%
709º General ELO ranking 375º
19º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
33.1%
Clermont
25.6%
Draw
41.3%
Montpellier

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
Clermont
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.3%
Win probability
Montpellier
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Clermont
-7%
-1%
Montpellier

Points and table prediction

Clermont
Their league position
Montpellier
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
20º
50
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSG
85
85
100%
Lens
84
84
100%
Olympique Marseille
73
73
100%
Stade Rennais
68
68
100%
Lille
67
67
100%
Monaco
65
65
100%
Olympique Lyonnais
62
62
100%
Clermont
59
59
100%
Nice
58
58
100%
Lorient
10º
55
55
10º
100%
Stade de Reims
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Montpellier
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Toulouse
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Stade Brestois
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Strasbourg
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Nantes
16º
36
36
16º
100%
Auxerre
17º
35
35
17º
100%
Ajaccio
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Troyes
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Angers SCO
20º
18
18
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Clermont
Montpellier
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Clermont
Montpellier
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Clermont
Clermont
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2022
NAN
Nantes
1 - 1
Clermont
CLE
52%
25%
23%
73 78 5 0
23 Oct. 2022
CLE
Clermont
1 - 3
Stade Brestois
BRE
43%
26%
31%
73 73 0 0
16 Oct. 2022
MON
Monaco
1 - 1
Clermont
CLE
72%
17%
10%
73 86 13 0
09 Oct. 2022
CLE
Clermont
2 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
41%
26%
33%
72 71 1 +1
02 Oct. 2022
AJA
Ajaccio
1 - 3
Clermont
CLE
34%
29%
37%
71 69 2 +1

Matches

Montpellier
Montpellier
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2022
REN
Stade Rennais
3 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
66%
20%
15%
77 86 9 0
22 Oct. 2022
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
21%
22%
58%
78 86 8 -1
15 Oct. 2022
LEN
Lens
1 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
55%
23%
22%
78 82 4 0
09 Oct. 2022
MPL
Montpellier
0 - 2
Monaco
MON
25%
24%
52%
78 86 8 0
02 Oct. 2022
TFC
Toulouse
4 - 2
Montpellier
MPL
44%
24%
31%
78 77 1 0
X