Civitanovese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
REA
1 - 4
CIV
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
RCA
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ISE
2 - 1
CIV
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 0
ATE
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
3 - 1
TER
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SSS
0 - 0
RCA
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
SSS
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIC
1 - 2
SSS
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VIS
0 - 2
SSS
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SSS
2 - 1
ATL
55%
25%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |