Civil Service Strollers vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 3
CIV
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 1
BER
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CWB
1 - 2
CIV
29%
24%
48%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CIV
2 - 0
CBF
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 1
CIV
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FAL
0 - 1
AIR
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
AIR
6 - 2
FAL
50%
22%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PET
1 - 3
FAL
10%
20%
70%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FAL
0 - 3
ICT
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 4
FAL
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |