Cittanova vs Marina di Ragusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CCI
2 - 2
MES
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 0
CCI
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CCI
1 - 1
SSC
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MES
2 - 0
CCI
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CCI
2 - 4
PAL
5%
14%
81%
|
30 | 73 | 43 | -1 |
Matches
Marina di Ragusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CSA
1 - 0
MDR
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MDR
0 - 3
LIC
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
STO
1 - 1
MDR
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MDR
1 - 0
ACI
20%
20%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 0
MDR
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |