FC Messina vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 2
CIT
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 0
CCI
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CIT
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 2
MES
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CIT
82%
14%
5%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TUR
5 - 1
GEL
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 4
TUR
29%
23%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
4 - 2
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 3
TUR
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
3 - 1
ACI
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |