FC Messina vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CSA
1 - 1
CIT
32%
24%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
REN
0 - 1
CIT
37%
29%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CIT
1 - 0
MES
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SMC
0 - 0
CIT
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CIT
1 - 0
ASD
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CCI
1 - 4
ACI
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ROT
2 - 1
CCI
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BIA
2 - 1
CCI
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CCI
1 - 0
LIC
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CSA
1 - 2
CCI
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |