FC Messina vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NIS
1 - 2
CIT
13%
20%
67%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CIT
1 - 0
RAG
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NUO
5 - 2
CIT
69%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIT
0 - 0
MES
44%
25%
30%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 0
CIT
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ACI
0 - 3
RIO
27%
26%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AGR
2 - 1
ACI
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ACI
1 - 2
NOT
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ACI
2 - 3
FCS
25%
25%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NIS
0 - 4
ACI
35%
28%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |