League Cup Hong Kong Round 2

Citizen AA vs Happy Valley AA analysis

Citizen AA Happy Valley AA
55 ELO 64
5.1% Tilt 3.5%
3980º General ELO ranking 20061º
10º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
25.7%
Citizen AA
20.8%
Draw
53.5%
Happy Valley AA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
Citizen AA
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
53.5%
Win probability
Happy Valley AA
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Citizen AA
Happy Valley AA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Citizen AA
Citizen AA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2007
BIU
Rangers
2 - 2
Citizen AA
CAA
67%
19%
15%
54 65 11 0
15 Dec. 2006
HON
Hong Kong FC
0 - 1
Citizen AA
CAA
43%
25%
32%
54 51 3 0
26 Nov. 2006
SCA
South China AA
5 - 2
Citizen AA
CAA
55%
23%
22%
56 59 3 -2
19 Nov. 2006
CAA
Citizen AA
2 - 2
Sheffield United HK
SHF
43%
26%
31%
56 59 3 0
11 Nov. 2006
CAA
Citizen AA
2 - 3
Kitchee FC
KFC
23%
24%
52%
56 69 13 0

Matches

Happy Valley AA
Happy Valley AA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2006
HVA
Happy Valley AA
0 - 0
Rangers
BIU
48%
24%
28%
64 65 1 0
25 Nov. 2006
HVA
Happy Valley AA
0 - 1
Hong Kong FC
HON
77%
15%
8%
66 51 15 -2
18 Nov. 2006
SHS
Sun Hei SC
0 - 2
Happy Valley AA
HVA
53%
23%
25%
65 70 5 +1
12 Nov. 2006
WTP
Wofoo Tai Po FC
4 - 3
Happy Valley AA
HVA
32%
24%
43%
65 59 6 0
05 Nov. 2006
HVA
Happy Valley AA
1 - 0
Hong Kong 08
HKO
76%
15%
8%
65 43 22 0