Cirencester Town vs Winchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PAU
1 - 3
CIR
20%
22%
59%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CIR
1 - 0
HIG
84%
10%
5%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BID
0 - 2
CIR
13%
20%
68%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CIR
3 - 1
PLY
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 5
CIR
11%
18%
71%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Winchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 2
WIN
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
WIN
5 - 1
LYM
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
EVE
1 - 5
WIN
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 0
MEL
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 2
WIN
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |