Non League Div One South-West Round 29

Cirencester Town vs Paulton Rovers analysis

Cirencester Town Paulton Rovers
28 ELO 26
21% Tilt 0.4%
9613º General ELO ranking 12685º
464º Country ELO ranking 723º
ELO win probability
60%
Cirencester Town
19.6%
Draw
20.4%
Paulton Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
Cirencester Town
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.4%
Win probability
Paulton Rovers
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cirencester Town
-30%
+15%
Paulton Rovers

ELO progression

Cirencester Town
Paulton Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cirencester Town
Cirencester Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2018
BIS
Bishop's Cleeve
0 - 1
Cirencester Town
CIR
21%
21%
58%
27 18 9 0
27 Jan. 2018
CIR
Cirencester Town
5 - 1
Mangotsfield United
MAN
76%
15%
10%
26 21 5 +1
20 Jan. 2018
WIM
Wimborne Town
5 - 1
Cirencester Town
CIR
55%
21%
24%
28 29 1 -2
16 Jan. 2018
CIR
Cirencester Town
3 - 1
North Leigh
NOR
60%
19%
21%
27 25 2 +1
13 Jan. 2018
DID
Didcot Town
4 - 0
Cirencester Town
CIR
51%
22%
26%
28 29 1 -1

Matches

Paulton Rovers
Paulton Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2018
EVE
Evesham United
1 - 0
Paulton Rovers
PAU
67%
19%
14%
27 37 10 0
09 Jan. 2018
AFT
AFC Totton
0 - 3
Paulton Rovers
PAU
64%
19%
18%
26 28 2 +1
06 Jan. 2018
PAU
Paulton Rovers
2 - 2
Winchester City
WIN
33%
23%
44%
25 31 6 +1
30 Dec. 2017
BRI
Bristol Manor Farm
3 - 1
Paulton Rovers
PAU
66%
17%
17%
26 30 4 -1
23 Dec. 2017
SLI
Slimbridge
1 - 4
Paulton Rovers
PAU
25%
23%
52%
26 19 7 0