Círculo Don Bosco vs AD. Carmona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Círculo Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
CIR
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
CIR
66%
19%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CIR
0 - 1
ATL
32%
22%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COR
6 - 2
CIR
71%
18%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CIR
4 - 4
OLI
22%
22%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AD. Carmona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ADC
2 - 2
MAR
42%
24%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
ADC
62%
18%
20%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 3
COR
27%
22%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
ADC
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ADC
2 - 3
CDA
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |