Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
10º
6º
22
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Circulo Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
CSS
3 - 0
CDC
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 0
GER
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
VIL
16%
28%
56%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RSA
4 - 1
CDC
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
CDC
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kimberley Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
KIM
2 - 0
SAU
46%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CIP
0 - 0
KIM
48%
29%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
KIM
81%
15%
5%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
CSS
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |