FA Trophy . 1/256
Global 7-6
Cinderford Town vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinderford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CIN
1 - 2
HIG
81%
12%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CIN
2 - 1
HIG
69%
17%
15%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
HIG
1 - 1
CIN
19%
20%
61%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
CIN
4 - 3
EVE
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CIN
1 - 1
MEL
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
SAL
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BEA
0 - 0
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
MER
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MER
2 - 0
BLA
54%
21%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MER
3 - 1
WIM
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |