Cinderford Town vs Aylesbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinderford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
CIN
0 - 3
MER
34%
25%
40%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DID
1 - 1
CIN
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
BIS
0 - 3
CIN
19%
24%
57%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CIN
5 - 0
FLE
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 0
HUN
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AYL
2 - 1
THA
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
AYL
1 - 3
AYL
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 3
AYL
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 3
AYL
70%
17%
14%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AYL
0 - 2
RUG
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |