Cieza vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
CIE
1 - 5
ALB
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ALI
5 - 0
CIE
78%
13%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
CIE
1 - 0
CAR
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
CRE
4 - 0
CIE
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
LOR
1 - 2
CIE
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
ELD
5 - 0
LOR
75%
14%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ALB
2 - 0
ELD
79%
13%
9%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
ELD
3 - 2
ALM
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
ALI
1 - 0
ELD
54%
20%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
IMP
1 - 3
ELD
37%
23%
41%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |