Cieza vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
CIE
4 - 0
NOV
65%
18%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
YEC
9 - 1
CIE
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
THA
4 - 0
CIE
65%
17%
18%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
CIE
3 - 2
HEL
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
AGU
3 - 0
CIE
69%
16%
15%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
THA
2 - 1
ELC
53%
20%
26%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
ELC
4 - 0
HEL
79%
13%
9%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
AGU
3 - 2
ELC
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ELC
6 - 1
ORI
87%
8%
4%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
CFC
4 - 1
ELC
76%
13%
11%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |