Cieza vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
14º
8º
70
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RMC
0 - 0
CIE
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CIE
3 - 2
LOR
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
CIE
61%
22%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 1
MSM
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 1
CIE
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGU
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
MSM
83%
13%
5%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PUL
1 - 1
AGU
22%
29%
49%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
EGP
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 3
AGU
13%
23%
64%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |