Cienfuegos vs Villa Clara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienfuegos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MAT
0 - 3
CIE
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 1
MAY
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
LAS
0 - 3
CIE
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 0
CIE
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CIE
0 - 1
CIU
42%
29%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 1
MAY
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
MAT
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAM
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 3
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
GRA
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |