Cuba First Division Apertura Apertura Round 3

Ciego de Ávila vs Holguín analysis

Ciego de Ávila Holguín
68 ELO 49
2.1% Tilt 10.2%
3470º General ELO ranking 3254º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
78.9%
Ciego de Ávila
15.1%
Draw
5.9%
Holguín

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
Ciego de Ávila
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
5.9%
Win probability
Holguín
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ciego de Ávila
-9%
+30%
Holguín

ELO progression

Ciego de Ávila
Holguín
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ciego de Ávila
Ciego de Ávila
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2019
CIE
Ciego de Ávila
2 - 0
Camagüey
CAM
57%
23%
19%
67 61 6 0
09 Nov. 2019
SAN
Santiago de Cuba
1 - 2
Ciego de Ávila
CIE
36%
28%
36%
64 65 1 +3
20 Mar. 2019
CIE
Ciego de Ávila
0 - 0
Holguín
HOL
76%
16%
8%
64 48 16 0
16 Mar. 2019
GUA
Guantánamo
1 - 0
Ciego de Ávila
CIE
37%
27%
36%
64 64 0 0
09 Mar. 2019
CIE
Ciego de Ávila
0 - 2
Santiago de Cuba
SAN
35%
28%
37%
65 72 7 -1

Matches

Holguín
Holguín
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2019
HOL
Holguín
1 - 2
Santiago de Cuba
SAN
17%
26%
58%
50 67 17 0
09 Nov. 2019
GUA
Guantánamo
4 - 1
Holguín
HOL
64%
23%
14%
49 60 11 +1
20 Mar. 2019
CIE
Ciego de Ávila
0 - 0
Holguín
HOL
76%
16%
8%
48 64 16 +1
16 Mar. 2019
HOL
Holguín
1 - 2
Camagüey
CAM
21%
26%
53%
48 61 13 0
09 Mar. 2019
LAS
Las Tunas
1 - 0
Holguín
HOL
61%
22%
17%
49 53 4 -1