Ciego de Ávila vs Guantánamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciego de Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ISL
0 - 2
CIE
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
PIN
0 - 1
CIE
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
CIE
2 - 0
CIE
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 0
CIE
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
CIE
2 - 0
ISL
63%
21%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Guantánamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CIE
0 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
GUA
3 - 1
ISL
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
PIN
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 1
CIE
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |